¿Perdidos o salvados? El futuro del trabajo frente a la cuarta Revolución Industrial
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21142//DES-1201-2020-0018Palabras clave:
cuarta Revolución Industrial, futuro del empleo, automatización, desigualdad socialResumen
El presente análisis tiene por objetivo indagar sobre el interrogante de los empleos que se perderán y ganarán en el futuro de mediano plazo a causa de la robotización y la automatización de funciones laborales, propias de la cuarta Revolución Industrial. Con este fin, analizamos en profundidad diversos textos académicos, además de políticas públicas de distintos países del mundo y documentos emitidos por compañías multinacionales y grupos gremiales y sindicales, que abordan distintos marcos temporales y espaciales en sus predicciones. Existe amplia variabilidad y polarización de conclusiones entre los autores, que no presentan consenso respecto de si habrá ganancia o pérdida neta de puestos de trabajo en términos absolutos. Sin embargo, se pueden advertir tres consensos básicos: 1) los países y sectores más vulnerables son aquellos que dependen de empleos repetitivos y no creativos; además, se verán afectados fundamentalmente los países emergentes o en desarrollo; 2) se espera una elevada fragmentación social con concentración de puestos de trabajo en los dos extremos de la escala de salarios y de exigencias cognitivas; y 3) la educación se presenta, hoy más que nunca, como el factor clave para elevar los niveles de vida, a nivel individual y social.
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Referencias
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Acemoglu, D. y Restrepo, P. (2017). Robots and Jobs: Evidence Form US and the Labour Markets. NBER Working Paper No. 23285.
Apella, I. y Zunino, G. (2017). Cambio Tecnológico y el Mercado de Trabajo en Argentina y Uruguay: Un Análisis desde el Enfoque de Tareas. Banco Mundial, 11.
Arntz, M., Gregory, T. y Zierahn, U. (2016). The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries, OECD Social, Employment and Migration. Working Papers, No. 189, OECD Publishing: Paris.
Atkinson, R. y Wu, J. (2017). False Alarmism: Technological Disruption and the U.S. Labor Market, 1850–2015. Information Technology & Innovation Fundation.
Autor, D. (2015). Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29:3, pp. 3–30.
Autor, D. (2016). Automatización y empleo: de qué deberíamos preocuparnos (y de qué no). Boletín Informativo Techint 354..
Autor, D. H., F. Levy y R. J. Murnane (2003), The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pp. 1279-1333.
Autor, D. y Dorn, D. (2013). The Growth of Low-Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the US Labor Market. American Economic Review, 103:5, pp. 1553-1597.
Autor, David H., David Dorn, & Gordon H. Hanson (2015). Untangling Trade and Technology: Evidence from Local Labor Markets. Economic Journal, 125:584, pp. 621-646.
Autor, David H., Lawrence F. Katz, y Melissa S. Kearney. (2008) Trends in US wage inequality: Revising the revisionists. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 90:2, pp. 300–323
Baert, A. y Ledent, P. (2015), La Révolution Technologique En Belgique. ING FOCUS-Emploi. Bruxelles: ING.
Bakhshi, H., Downing, J. M., Osborne, M. A., y Schneider, P. (2017). The Future of Skills: Employment 2030. London: Pearson and Nesta.
Banco Mundial (2016). World Development Report 2016: Digital Dividends. Washington DC: The World Bank.
Beliz, G. (2017). Un contrato social tecnológico para América Latina. En Robotlución. INTAL. 2017. Integración & Comercio. 40. Recuperado de: https://publications.iadb.org.
Berriman, R. (2017). Will robots steal our jobs? The potential impact of automation on the UK and other major economies. PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Bessen, J., Goos, M., Salomons, A. y Van Den Berge, W. (2019). Automatic Reaction: What happens to workers at firms that automate?. CBS working Paper.
Bowles, J. (2014), The computerisation of European jobs. Bruegel Blog. Recuperado de: http://bruegel.org/2014/07/the-computerisation-of-european-jobs/
Brynjolfsson, E. y A. McAfee. (2011). Race Against the Machines: How the Digital Revolution is Accelerating Innovation, Driving Productivity, and Irreversibly Transforming Employment and the Economy. Digital Frontier Press.
Brynjolfsson, E. y A. McAfee. (2014). The second machine age: work, progress, and prosperity in a time.
Carlson, M. (2015). The Robotic Reporter. Routledge, 3:3, pp. 416–431.
CBInsights (2017), The State of Automation, disponible online en https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/state-of-automation/
Chui, M., Manyika, J. y Miremadi, M. (2019). Where machines could replace humans—and where they can’t (yet). McKinsey Digital.
Cowen, T. (2013). Average is Over: Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation. Nueva York: Dutton.
Cronin, P., Ryan, F. y Coughlan, M. (2008). Undertaking a literature review: A step-by-step approach. British journal of nursing. Mark Allen Publishing.
DeCanio, S. J. (2016). Robots and humans – complements or substitutes?. Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, 49, pp. 280-291.
Degryse, C. (2016). Digitalisation of the Economy and its Impact on Labour Markets. ETUI Research Paper: Working Paper 2016.02.
Deloitte. (2016). Transforming the Swiss Economy: The Impact of Automation on Employment and Industries. Recuperado de: https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/ch/Documents/innovation/ch-en-cons-innovation-transforming-swiss-economy.pdf
Deloitte (2014). De Impact van Automatisering Op de Nederlandse Arbeidsmarkt.
Deloitte (2015). From brawn to brains. The impact of technology on jobs in the UK.
De Zavalia, E., Del Águila, J., Cuesta, A. y Rubbi, L. (2019). Empresas, Empleo y Educación ante el Cambio Tecnológico. En Academia Argentina de Letras (2019). Academias, Conocimiento y Sociedad, pp. 79 - 102.
Downey, M. (2016). Partial Automation: Routine-Biased Technical Change, Deskilling, and the Minimum Wage. San Diego: University of California. Recuperado de: http://econweb.ucsd.edu/~pmdowney/pdfs/wp/ PartialAutomation.pdf
Edmonds, D., y Bradley, T. (2015). Mechanical boon: will automation advance Australia?. Office of the Chief Economist. Department of Industry, Innovation and Science.
Engler, J., Pritzker, P., Alden, E. y Taylor-Kale, L. (2018). The Work Ahead: Machines, Skills, and U.S. Leadership in the Twenty-First Century. Council of Foreign Relations.
Eslake, S. (2017). Insecurity, Inequality and the Labour Market. Jobs Australia Conference. Hobart: ResearchGate.
Estevadeordal (2017). Estar preparados. En INTAL (2017). Robotlución. Integración & Comercio. 40. Recuperado de: https://publications.iadb.org.
European Parliamentary Technology Assessment. (2016). The Future of Labour in the Digital Era. Ubiquitous Computing, Virtual Platforms, and Real-time Production. Recuperado de: http://epub.oeaw.ac.at/ita/ita-projektberichte/ EPTA-2016-Digital-Labour.pdf.
Fernández-Macías, E. y Hurley, J. (2016). Routine-biased technical change and job polarization in Europe. Socio-Economic Review, 15:3, pp. 563–585.
Finextra (2016). Banking on Blockchain: Charting the Progress of Distributed Ledger Technology in Financial Services. Finextra White Paper.
FIR (2016). World Robotics: Industrial Robots. Federación Internacional de Robótica (IFR).
FIR (2019). World Robotics 2019: Industrial Robots. Federación Internacional de Robots.
Frey, C. B. y Osborne, M. A. (2013). The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 114, pp. 254-280.
Fundación Bertelsmann (2015). 2050: The Future of Work. Recuperado de: https://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/fileadmin/files/BSt/Publikationen/GrauePublikationen/BST_Delphi_E_03lay.pdf
Galiani, S. (2017). Terminator IV. Boletín Techint.
German Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs (2016). White Paper - Work 4.0. Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs.
Goldin, I. (2016). How immigration has changed the world – for the better. Geneva: World Economic Forum. Recuperado de: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/how-immigration-has-changed-the-world-for-the-better/
Goos, M., Manning, A. y Salomons, A. (2009). Job polarization in Europe. The American Economic Review, 99:2, pp. 58–63.
Goos, M., Manning, A. y Salomons, A. (2014). Explaining Job Polarization: Routine-Biased Technological Change and Offshoring. The American Economic Review, 104:8, pp. 2509-2526.
Goos, M. et al. (2015). Employment Growth in Europe: The Role of Innovation, Local Job Multipliers.
ILO. (2016). Non-Standard Employment Around the World: Understanding Challenges, Shaping Prospects. Ginebra: Organización Internacional del Trabajo.
Laviña Orueta, J., Serrano, G. L. y Varela Ferrio, J. (2019). Innovación Tecnológica Y Empleo. Foro Empresas Innovadoras. Recuperado de: http://foroempresasinnovadoras.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Libro-OK_v6-final.pdf
Luksha, P., et. al. (2015). Atlas of Emerging Jobs. Skolkovo.
ManpowerGroup. (2017). The Skills Revolution: Digitalization and Why Skills and Talent Matter.
Manyika, J., Chui, M., Miremadi, M., Bughin, J., George, K., Willmott, P. y Dewhurst, M. (2017), A Future that Works: Automation, Employment, and Productivity. McKinsey Global Institute.
McKinsey & Company; αlphaβeta; Macquarie Group Foundation. (2018). A demand driven approach to addressing youth unemployment in Australia. Sydney: McKinsey & Company; αlphaβeta; Macquarie Group Foundation.
McKinsey & Company. (2015). The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends. New York.
McKinsey and Company (2017). Jobs lost, jobs gained: What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages. Recuperado de: https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/jobs-lost-jobs-gained-what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages
MGI (2013). Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy. Tech. Rep., McKinsey Global Institute.
Michaels, G., Ashwini, N. y Van Reenen, J. (2014). Has ICT Polarized Skill Demand? Evidence from Eleven Countries over Twenty-Five Years. Review of Economics and Statistics, 96:1, pp. 60–77.
Moretti, E. (2010). Local Multipliers. American Economic Review, 100:2, pp. 373-377.
OCDE (2017). Computers and the future skills of job demand 2017. Recuperado de: https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/computers-and-the-future-of-skill-demand_9789264284395-en#page1
Oxford Martin School (2015). Industrial Renewal in the 21st Century: Evidence from US Cities?. University of Oxford.
Pollin, R., Garrett-Peltier, H., Heintz, J. y Hendricks, B. (2014). Green Growth: A U.S Program for Controlling Climate Change and Expanding Job Opportunities. Center for American Progress.
PricewaterhouseCoopers (2017). Will Robots Steal Our Jobs? The Potential Impact of Automation on the UK and Other Major Economies. PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Rofman, R. y Apella, I. (2017). Envejecimiento poblacional, cambio tecnológico y mercado de trabajo en Argentina. Boletín Techint.
RolandBerger (2014). Think act - Les classes moyennes face à la transformation digitale. RolandBerger.
Roos, G. y Shroff, Z. (2017). What will happen to the jobs? Technology-enabled productivity improvement – good for some, bad for others.
Salazar-Xirinachs, J. M. (2017). The Future of Work, Employment and Skills in Latin America and the Caribbean. Organización Internacional del Trabajo. Recuperado de: http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---americas/---ro-lima/---sro-port_of_spain/documents/publication/wcms_544337.pdf
Santanatoglia, E., Sosa Valle, F., Mariani, K. y Pivetta, G. (2018). Future Of Work And Education For The Digital Age: Providing a broader framework to social and labour relations. Think 20.
Schumpeter, J. (1942). Creative destruction. Capitalism, socialism and democracy, 825, pp. 82-85.
Schwab, K. (2016). The Fourth Industrial Revolution. World Economic Forum.
ServiceNow (2017). Today’s State of Work: At the Breaking Point.
Smith, A. y Anderson, J. (2014). AI, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs. Recuperado de: http://www.pewinternet.org/2014/08/06/future-of-jobs/.
The Economist (2018). The Automation readiness index. Recuperado de: http://www.automationreadiness.eiu.com/
Valenduc, G. y Vendramin, P. (2017). Digitalisation, between disruption and evolution. European Review of Labour and Research, 23:2, pp. 121–134.
WEF (2018). Informe sobre la Preparación para el futuro de la producción 2018. Foro Económico Mundial 2018. Recuperado de: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/FOP_Readiness_Report_2018.pdf
West, D.M. (2015). What Happens If Robots Take the Jobs? The Impact of Emerging Technologies on Employment and Public Policy. Center for Technology Innovation at Brookings.
World Economic Forum. (2016). Values and the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Connecting the Dots Between Value, Values, Profit and Purpose. Global Agenda Council (2014-2016). Cologny: World Economic Forum.
World Economic Forum. (2017b). Robot Revolution: The Economics of Automation.
World Economic Forum (2016). The Fourth Industrial Revolution: what it means, how to respond. Recuperado de: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and-how-to-respond/
αlphaβeta. (2017). The Automation Advantage. Sydney: αlphaβeta. Recuperado de: https://www.alphabeta.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/The-Automation-Advantage.pdf
Acemoglu, D. (2002). Technical change, inequality, and the labor market. Journal of Economic Literature. 40, pp. 7-72.
Acemoglu, D. y Restrepo, P. (2016). The Race Between Machine and Man: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares and Employment. NBER Working Paper No. 22252.
Acemoglu, D. y Restrepo, P. (2017). Robots and Jobs: Evidence Form US and the Labour Markets. NBER Working Paper No. 23285.
Apella, I. y Zunino, G. (2017). Cambio Tecnológico y el Mercado de Trabajo en Argentina y Uruguay: Un Análisis desde el Enfoque de Tareas. Banco Mundial, 11.
Arntz, M., Gregory, T. y Zierahn, U. (2016). The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries, OECD Social, Employment and Migration. Working Papers, No. 189, OECD Publishing: Paris.
Atkinson, R. y Wu, J. (2017). False Alarmism: Technological Disruption and the U.S. Labor Market, 1850–2015. Information Technology & Innovation Fundation.
Autor, D. (2015). Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29:3, pp. 3–30.
Autor, D. (2016). Automatización y empleo: de qué deberíamos preocuparnos (y de qué no). Boletín Informativo Techint 354..
Autor, D. H., F. Levy y R. J. Murnane (2003), The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pp. 1279-1333.
Autor, D. y Dorn, D. (2013). The Growth of Low-Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the US Labor Market. American Economic Review, 103:5, pp. 1553-1597.
Autor, David H., David Dorn, & Gordon H. Hanson (2015). Untangling Trade and Technology: Evidence from Local Labor Markets. Economic Journal, 125:584, pp. 621-646.
Autor, David H., Lawrence F. Katz, y Melissa S. Kearney. (2008) Trends in US wage inequality: Revising the revisionists. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 90:2, pp. 300–323
Baert, A. y Ledent, P. (2015), La Révolution Technologique En Belgique. ING FOCUS-Emploi. Bruxelles: ING.
Bakhshi, H., Downing, J. M., Osborne, M. A., y Schneider, P. (2017). The Future of Skills: Employment 2030. London: Pearson and Nesta.
Banco Mundial (2016). World Development Report 2016: Digital Dividends. Washington DC: The World Bank.
Beliz, G. (2017). Un contrato social tecnológico para América Latina. En Robotlución. INTAL. 2017. Integración & Comercio. 40. Recuperado de: https://publications.iadb.org.
Berriman, R. (2017). Will robots steal our jobs? The potential impact of automation on the UK and other major economies. PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Bessen, J., Goos, M., Salomons, A. y Van Den Berge, W. (2019). Automatic Reaction: What happens to workers at firms that automate?. CBS working Paper.
Bowles, J. (2014), The computerisation of European jobs. Bruegel Blog. Recuperado de: http://bruegel.org/2014/07/the-computerisation-of-european-jobs/
Brynjolfsson, E. y A. McAfee. (2011). Race Against the Machines: How the Digital Revolution is Accelerating Innovation, Driving Productivity, and Irreversibly Transforming Employment and the Economy. Digital Frontier Press.
Brynjolfsson, E. y A. McAfee. (2014). The second machine age: work, progress, and prosperity in a time.
Carlson, M. (2015). The Robotic Reporter. Routledge, 3:3, pp. 416–431.
CBInsights (2017), The State of Automation, disponible online en https://www.cbinsights.com/research/report/state-of-automation/
Chui, M., Manyika, J. y Miremadi, M. (2019). Where machines could replace humans—and where they can’t (yet). McKinsey Digital.
Cowen, T. (2013). Average is Over: Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation. Nueva York: Dutton.
Cronin, P., Ryan, F. y Coughlan, M. (2008). Undertaking a literature review: A step-by-step approach. British journal of nursing. Mark Allen Publishing.
DeCanio, S. J. (2016). Robots and humans – complements or substitutes?. Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, 49, pp. 280-291.
Degryse, C. (2016). Digitalisation of the Economy and its Impact on Labour Markets. ETUI Research Paper: Working Paper 2016.02.
Deloitte. (2016). Transforming the Swiss Economy: The Impact of Automation on Employment and Industries. Recuperado de: https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/ch/Documents/innovation/ch-en-cons-innovation-transforming-swiss-economy.pdf
Deloitte (2014). De Impact van Automatisering Op de Nederlandse Arbeidsmarkt.
Deloitte (2015). From brawn to brains. The impact of technology on jobs in the UK.
De Zavalia, E., Del Águila, J., Cuesta, A. y Rubbi, L. (2019). Empresas, Empleo y Educación ante el Cambio Tecnológico. En Academia Argentina de Letras (2019). Academias, Conocimiento y Sociedad, pp. 79 - 102.
Downey, M. (2016). Partial Automation: Routine-Biased Technical Change, Deskilling, and the Minimum Wage. San Diego: University of California. Recuperado de: http://econweb.ucsd.edu/~pmdowney/pdfs/wp/ PartialAutomation.pdf
Edmonds, D., y Bradley, T. (2015). Mechanical boon: will automation advance Australia?. Office of the Chief Economist. Department of Industry, Innovation and Science.
Engler, J., Pritzker, P., Alden, E. y Taylor-Kale, L. (2018). The Work Ahead: Machines, Skills, and U.S. Leadership in the Twenty-First Century. Council of Foreign Relations.
Eslake, S. (2017). Insecurity, Inequality and the Labour Market. Jobs Australia Conference. Hobart: ResearchGate.
Estevadeordal (2017). Estar preparados. En INTAL (2017). Robotlución. Integración & Comercio. 40. Recuperado de: https://publications.iadb.org.
European Parliamentary Technology Assessment. (2016). The Future of Labour in the Digital Era. Ubiquitous Computing, Virtual Platforms, and Real-time Production. Recuperado de: http://epub.oeaw.ac.at/ita/ita-projektberichte/ EPTA-2016-Digital-Labour.pdf.
Fernández-Macías, E. y Hurley, J. (2016). Routine-biased technical change and job polarization in Europe. Socio-Economic Review, 15:3, pp. 563–585.
Finextra (2016). Banking on Blockchain: Charting the Progress of Distributed Ledger Technology in Financial Services. Finextra White Paper.
FIR (2016). World Robotics: Industrial Robots. Federación Internacional de Robótica (IFR).
FIR (2019). World Robotics 2019: Industrial Robots. Federación Internacional de Robots.
Frey, C. B. y Osborne, M. A. (2013). The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 114, pp. 254-280.
Fundación Bertelsmann (2015). 2050: The Future of Work. Recuperado de: https://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/fileadmin/files/BSt/Publikationen/GrauePublikationen/BST_Delphi_E_03lay.pdf
Galiani, S. (2017). Terminator IV. Boletín Techint.
German Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs (2016). White Paper - Work 4.0. Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs.
Goldin, I. (2016). How immigration has changed the world – for the better. Geneva: World Economic Forum. Recuperado de: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/how-immigration-has-changed-the-world-for-the-better/
Goos, M., Manning, A. y Salomons, A. (2009). Job polarization in Europe. The American Economic Review, 99:2, pp. 58–63.
Goos, M., Manning, A. y Salomons, A. (2014). Explaining Job Polarization: Routine-Biased Technological Change and Offshoring. The American Economic Review, 104:8, pp. 2509-2526.
Goos, M. et al. (2015). Employment Growth in Europe: The Role of Innovation, Local Job Multipliers.
ILO. (2016). Non-Standard Employment Around the World: Understanding Challenges, Shaping Prospects. Ginebra: Organización Internacional del Trabajo.
Laviña Orueta, J., Serrano, G. L. y Varela Ferrio, J. (2019). Innovación Tecnológica Y Empleo. Foro Empresas Innovadoras. Recuperado de: http://foroempresasinnovadoras.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Libro-OK_v6-final.pdf
Luksha, P., et. al. (2015). Atlas of Emerging Jobs. Skolkovo.
ManpowerGroup. (2017). The Skills Revolution: Digitalization and Why Skills and Talent Matter.
Manyika, J., Chui, M., Miremadi, M., Bughin, J., George, K., Willmott, P. y Dewhurst, M. (2017), A Future that Works: Automation, Employment, and Productivity. McKinsey Global Institute.
McKinsey & Company; αlphaβeta; Macquarie Group Foundation. (2018). A demand driven approach to addressing youth unemployment in Australia. Sydney: McKinsey & Company; αlphaβeta; Macquarie Group Foundation.
McKinsey & Company. (2015). The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends. New York.
McKinsey and Company (2017). Jobs lost, jobs gained: What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages. Recuperado de: https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/jobs-lost-jobs-gained-what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages
MGI (2013). Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy. Tech. Rep., McKinsey Global Institute.
Michaels, G., Ashwini, N. y Van Reenen, J. (2014). Has ICT Polarized Skill Demand? Evidence from Eleven Countries over Twenty-Five Years. Review of Economics and Statistics, 96:1, pp. 60–77.
Moretti, E. (2010). Local Multipliers. American Economic Review, 100:2, pp. 373-377.
OCDE (2017). Computers and the future skills of job demand 2017. Recuperado de: https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/computers-and-the-future-of-skill-demand_9789264284395-en#page1
Oxford Martin School (2015). Industrial Renewal in the 21st Century: Evidence from US Cities?. University of Oxford.
Pollin, R., Garrett-Peltier, H., Heintz, J. y Hendricks, B. (2014). Green Growth: A U.S Program for Controlling Climate Change and Expanding Job Opportunities. Center for American Progress.
PricewaterhouseCoopers (2017). Will Robots Steal Our Jobs? The Potential Impact of Automation on the UK and Other Major Economies. PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Rofman, R. y Apella, I. (2017). Envejecimiento poblacional, cambio tecnológico y mercado de trabajo en Argentina. Boletín Techint.
RolandBerger (2014). Think act - Les classes moyennes face à la transformation digitale. RolandBerger.
Roos, G. y Shroff, Z. (2017). What will happen to the jobs? Technology-enabled productivity improvement – good for some, bad for others.
Salazar-Xirinachs, J. M. (2017). The Future of Work, Employment and Skills in Latin America and the Caribbean. Organización Internacional del Trabajo. Recuperado de: http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---americas/---ro-lima/---sro-port_of_spain/documents/publication/wcms_544337.pdf
Santanatoglia, E., Sosa Valle, F., Mariani, K. y Pivetta, G. (2018). Future Of Work And Education For The Digital Age: Providing a broader framework to social and labour relations. Think 20.
Schumpeter, J. (1942). Creative destruction. Capitalism, socialism and democracy, 825, pp. 82-85.
Schwab, K. (2016). The Fourth Industrial Revolution. World Economic Forum.
ServiceNow (2017). Today’s State of Work: At the Breaking Point.
Smith, A. y Anderson, J. (2014). AI, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs. Recuperado de: http://www.pewinternet.org/2014/08/06/future-of-jobs/.
The Economist (2018). The Automation readiness index. Recuperado de: http://www.automationreadiness.eiu.com/
Valenduc, G. y Vendramin, P. (2017). Digitalisation, between disruption and evolution. European Review of Labour and Research, 23:2, pp. 121–134.
WEF (2018). Informe sobre la Preparación para el futuro de la producción 2018. Foro Económico Mundial 2018. Recuperado de: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/FOP_Readiness_Report_2018.pdf
West, D.M. (2015). What Happens If Robots Take the Jobs? The Impact of Emerging Technologies on Employment and Public Policy. Center for Technology Innovation at Brookings.
World Economic Forum. (2016). Values and the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Connecting the Dots Between Value, Values, Profit and Purpose. Global Agenda Council (2014-2016). Cologny: World Economic Forum.
World Economic Forum. (2017b). Robot Revolution: The Economics of Automation.
World Economic Forum (2016). The Fourth Industrial Revolution: what it means, how to respond. Recuperado de: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and-how-to-respond/
αlphaβeta. (2017). The Automation Advantage. Sydney: αlphaβeta. Recuperado de: https://www.alphabeta.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/The-Automation-Advantage.pdf
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2020-06-30
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Esta obra está bajo una licencia http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
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¿Perdidos o salvados? El futuro del trabajo frente a la cuarta Revolución Industrial. (2020). Desde El Sur, 12(1), 241-276. https://doi.org/10.21142//DES-1201-2020-0018
